Monday, October 3, 2011

Lineup Lessons: Gameweek 7

Szczesny, Sagna, Mertesacker, Song, Gibbs, Ramsey, Arteta, Coquelin, Walcott, van Persie, Gervinho.
Subs: Fabianski, Park, Andre Santos, Arshavin, Jenkinson, Frimpong, Benayoun.

Not too much of interest here as while this Arsenal side performed better than in some previous games, they are still a side priced to perform on an elite level but failing to do so with any consistency. Santos was rotated once again and should not be considered an option at the moment. I suppose Jenkinson could have some limited value if he secures the right back spot following Sagna's injury but with 3 clean sheets (against Newcastle, Swansea and Bolton) to their name, I don't see this unit as particularly valuable.

Aston Villa
Given, Hutton, Dunne, Collins, Warnock, Petrov, Ireland, Bannan, Delph, Agbonlahor, Bent.
Subs: Guzan, N'Zogbia, Albrighton, Heskey, Clark, Weimann, Herd.

N'Zogbia's miserable start to his Villa career continued as he was benched here. We've said it for a couple of weeks but his deeper placement and loss of some set piece duties really hurts his value and better options can be found in his price bracket. The availability, but non-starting of Heskey is encouraging given that this should keep Agbonlahor and Bent up front in a more conventional 4-4-2, under which Agbonlahor seems to have flourished.

Robinson, Lowe, Samba, Dann, Givet, Petrovic, Nzonzi, Pedersen, Goodwillie, Yakubu, Hoilett.
Subs: Bunn, Formica, Slew, Rochina, Vukcevic, Roberts, Hanley.

Nothing to see here folks, keep moving.

Bogdan, Steinsson, Cahill, Boyata, Robinson, Petrov, Pratley, Reo-Coker, Gardner, Ngog, K Davies.
Subs: Lainton, Muamba, Eagles, Sanli, Knight, M Davies, Vela.

It pains me to say it, but Bolton are a disaster at the moment. Granted, they've played a very tough fixture list and I'm sure things will get better but the team's confidence is shot and they will take a few weeks to bounce back from yet another crushing defeat. Not that they look ownable anyway, but for future reference Robinson looks like the only sure thing alongside Cahill as both Knight and Steinsson have been rotated for Boyata in the past couple of games.

Cech, Bosingwa, Luiz, Terry, Cole, Ramires, Meireles, Lampard, Mata, Drogba, Sturridge.
Subs: Turnbull, Ivanovic, Romeu, Mikel, Malouda, Lukaku, Anelka.

You figured Luiz was going to get a game at some point, though while it's surprising to me, I would still imagine that Ivanovic slides back into the side next week. Bosingwa is probably due a week off at some point but I still like him as the first choice here. The midfield and front lines are a mess with Lampard and Sturridge having big weeks, yet still be uncertain to feature every week. You'd imagine Lampard will play most games though I'm not sure he can deliver sufficient value these days to repay the required investment.

Howard, Hibbert, Jagielka, Distin, Baines, Coleman, Fellaini, Rodwell, Osman, Cahill, Saha.
Subs: Mucha, Bilyaletdinov, Drenthe, Stracqualursi, Neville, Barkley, Vellios.

Saha got his place back in the side though with Everton drawing a blank it didn't seem to do much good. I'm struggling to find value in this side.

Schwarzer, Grygera, Baird, Hangeland, Riise, Dempsey, Sidwell, Murphy, Dembele, Zamora, Johnson.
Subs: Etheridge, Kelly, Orlando Sa, Ruiz, Senderos, Duff, Etuhu.

I'm having a really tough time getting a handle on this team. After failing to score against Villa, Wolves and West Brom, they then put two past a very good City defense and dropped six on an improving QPR back line. The defense have managed back-to-back clean sheets but the only reliable members appear to Hangeland and Riise, both of whom come at a steep price. Grygera (the newest arrival) has played two in a row and could be shaping up to be a decent investment, but for me, the best course of action is to wait and see what happens when Hughes (4.7m) returns to the side. Senderos is finished as a fantasy asset.

Reina, Kelly, Carragher, Skrtel, Jose Enrique, Kuyt, Lucas, Adam, Downing, Suarez, Carroll.
Subs: Doni, Gerrard, Henderson, Coates, Spearing, Flanagan, Bellamy.

Henderson dropping out of the side seems to pave the way for Gerrard's return and his owners should look to move on. I would guess that a straight swap for Kuyt is on the horizon.

Man City
Hart, Zabaleta, Kompany, Lescott, Kolarov, Milner, Toure Yaya, Silva, Johnson, Aguero, Balotelli.
Subs: Pantilimon, Dzeko, Savic, Barry, Nasri, Clichy, De Jong.

A strange move from Mancini here, dropping Richards, Clichy, Barry, Nasri and Dzeko in one go, though it appeared to work and it should set us up for a period of stability in the coming weeks as the majority of those names return to the first team. I'm a bit worried that Silva, Aguero and possibly Kompany will be next on the rotation board but it's nothing that would scare me off ownership. Aguero tweeted that he will hook up with the National team this week, so providing he doesn't suffer a set back, he should be back in Blue after the international break.

Man Utd
Lindegaard, Valencia, Jones, Evans, Evra, Park, Fletcher, Anderson, Nani, Rooney, Hernandez.
Subs: De Gea, Ferdinand, Owen, Berbatov, Giggs, Carrick, Welbeck.

I'm not overly excited about the De Gea move and I anticipate he will return to the starting lineup next week. Lindegaard would of course become a hot property if he were to somehow hold onto the #1 shirt. Smalling was injured here, forcing Valencia into an emergency role at right back, though the talk is that he will be fit for the next game, ensuring competition for Jones to own that right back spot (I still like Jones in the long run). Rooney was obviously a surprise start here and you have to wonder if he will be rested at some point in the future, presuming he doesn't get any respite with international duty this week. Regardless, he remains one of, if not the, best options around. Ashley Young was a late scratch but looks to be in contention for England and should return by the next gameweek.

Krul, Simpson, S Taylor, Coloccini, R Taylor, Obertan, Cabaye, Tiote, Gutierrez, Best, Ba.
Subs: Elliot, Santon, Guthrie, Ben Arfa, Lovenkrands, Marveaux, Sammy Ameobi.

No starting place for Santon yet, though it isn't clear if he is being worked back slowly or is genuinely a bench player at this point. Until we know for sure, it makes picking up Simpson or R Taylor too risky, and given Newcastle's fixtures are only okay, I'd probably look elsewhere in the short term. It's a similar story for Ben Arfa, who has yet to prove his fitness, but will presumably start when fit.

Ruddy, Naughton, R Martin, Barnett, Tierney, Bennett, Hoolahan, Fox, Pilkington, Morison, Johnson.
Subs: Rudd, Drury, Crofts, Holt, Jackson, Surman, C Martin.

Holt seems to have totally fallen out of favour and should not be owned anymore. The backline looks fairly settled and I'm not sure De Laet will get back in there anytime soon. The 9% who jumped on him after GW1 might want to move on.

Kenny, Orr, Hall, Ferdinand, Young, Derry, Wright-Phillips, Faurlin, Taarabt, Barton, Bothroyd.
Subs: Murphy, Campbell, Mackie, Buzsaky, Perone, Smith, Helguson.

A good settled side here with the only changes forced due to injury (Gabbidon) and suspension (Traore). This week's destruction is obviously a blow but I still think this team holds decent rotation value and the likes of Ferdinand and a healthy Gabbidon remain ownable.

Begovic, Wilson, Shawcross, Delap, Woodgate, Whelan, Pennant, Whitehead, Wilkinson, Walters, Crouch.
Subs: Sorensen, Huth, Sidibe, Upson, Shotton, Arismendi, Jerome.

I'm not sure what happened with Huth here, though he was better off away from what was a very poor display from Stoke. One would imagine he will return next game.

Mignolet, O'Shea, Brown, Turner, Richardson, Elmohamady, Gardner, Cattermole, Larsson, Sessegnon, Bendtner.
Subs: Westwood, Colback, Ji, Meyler, McClean, Cook, Laing.

No surprises here and this squad looks wafer thin making the starters' minutes (if not production) guaranteed.

Vorm, Williams, Taylor, Monk, Rangel, Sinclair, Dyer, Routledge, Allen, Gower, Graham.
Subs: Tremmel, Dobbie, Lita, Moore, Bessone, Richards, Lucas.

Graham took his starting spot back from Lita and rewarded his manager with his first goal of the season. I'm not sure I'm back on board just yet (more to come on that in the upcoming stat analysis to take advantage of the week off) but at least he's playing again and could be great value for just 4.8m.

Friedel, Walker, Kaboul, King, Assou-Ekotto, Van der Vaart, Parker, Modric, Bale, Adebayor, Defoe.
Subs: Cudicini, Pavlyuchenko, Giovani, Bassong, Corluka, Livermore, Sandro.

We still don't have a categoric answer as to how Redknapp will fit his front 7 into 6 positions (Lennon is injured) but my guess would be that this team is his first choice and most selected when everyone is fit. Van der Vaart might be a sneaky differentiator over the coming weeks. Walker seems to have taken over from Corluka permanently now and his goal will only serve to solidify that position.

West Brom
Foster, Reid, McAuley, Olsson, Shorey, Brunt, Mulumbu, Dorrans, Morrison, Odemwingie, Long.
Subs: Fulop, Tchoyi, Thomas, Jones, Tamas, Cox, Scharner.

So BruntGate is over, and the midfielder finally added his first non-appearance points since GW1. You'd imagine he's back for good now and worth considering once again. Gareth McAuley got another start, and if you like anything about this team defensively then he could be worth a look given his price tag and apparent starting gig.

Al Habsi, Stam, Caldwell, Figueroa, Van Aanholt, Moses, McCarthy, Boyce, Watson, Diame, Di Santo.
Subs: Kirkland, Maloney, Gomez, McArthur, Sammon, Jones, Lopez.

Not much to add here. Wigan keep rotating a handful of midfielders but the players highlighted as having potential value (Watson, Moses, Di Santa) remain untouched.

Hennessey, Stearman, Johnson, Berra, Ward, Hunt, Henry, O'Hara, Jarvis, Doyle, Fletcher.
Subs: De Vries, Edwards, Vokes, Hammill, Zubar, Doherty, Guedioura.

Finally Wolves line up with all their best players, though with poor returns, one of the trio of talented midfielders (O'Hara, Jarvis and Hunt) or Fletcher could well find themselves on the bench once again. If you are convinced Fletcher is here to stay (I'm not there yet) then he represents good value given his consistent ability to find the back of the net.


CDI said...

Love the blog. Wanted to wait a while before making some moves due to the international break but didn't wanna lose value on jarvis and snap brought in Murphy. A post u made recently showed he had decent output with key passes and wanted to know what you thought of him in a 3 man midfield with nani and silva?

CDI said...

Would also like your opinion on my team as a whole.
Given (Ruddy)
Enrique, Jones, Shawcross, Simpson (senderos) want him gone
Nani, Murphy, Silva, (Dyer, tiote)
Rooney, Adebayor, Aguero

Pat Vivat said...

nice entry as always chris,

i heard H.Rednapp's reaction to VDV's comment regarding playing on the Right wing instead of his fav position "in the hole". VDV will have to compete against J.Defoe for that position.

what do you think about this?
i currently have Adebayor but i need to make room for sturridge. I see him as a cheap option to get into CHE coverage. Vaart is also on pen and corner so get him in for spurs coverage feels like an upgrade for me. Now the issue is that Rednapp might choose to drop him from his persistent to play in the hole"
What do you think about this move
MATA&ade --> VDV sturridge
for a long run. I plan to keep these guy until week 23, when i have another WC

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